Swing Trades — Risk & Timing Dashboard

A compact read on market tone (breadth, credit, curve) and a quick timing view for your trade setup.

Risk Switchboard
Updated
Breadth pulse
...
-5%+5%
SPY vs 20‑DMA (daily)

Breadth shows how broadly price participates. Above the 20‑DMA leans risk‑favoring; below it argues for tighter risk.

Credit pulse
...
-100+10bps
HY OAS Δ10d (BAMLH0A0HYM2)

Tightening spreads = credit appetite (risk‑on). Widening warns risk is being repriced.

Credit risk‑on
...
-5%+5%
HYG / IEF trend

When HYG outperforms IEF, risk assets tend to travel better; lagging credit often caps rallies.

Yield curve
...
-1%+1%
10y–2y & Δ7d (DGS10–DGS2)

The curve sets the macro wind. Deep inversion = headwind; weekly steepening is a small tailwind.

Quick Timing Deck
Updated
Close EMA 5 EMA 20

Look for closes above the fast EMA and the fast above the slow (stacked EMAs) for momentum entries. Pullbacks to EMA‑20 that hold are often swingable when credit confirms.

HYG ≥ 20DMA HYG/IEF uptrend SPY ↔ HYG divergence