Event Pulse - Prediction Market Odds (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt)

Q: What does “Prob” mean?

Prob is the implied probability derived from the latest available YES price for a contract.

Q: Why do different venues show different odds?

Venues can differ in liquidity, participants, and contract definitions. Differences can be informative.

Q: Can I search by stock ticker?

Most prediction markets are topic-based. If a ticker has no direct contracts, Event Pulse surfaces broad driver markets instead.

Event Pulse

Market-implied probabilities from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt

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Polymarket

Kalshi

PredictIt

Combined view

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Alerts Prob ≥ % Move ≥ pts

Source	Contract	Prob	Liquidity	Quality	Trend	Link

Probabilities are implied by the latest available "YES" price. Data availability and coverage vary by venue.

How to use Event Pulse

Event Pulse helps investors track market-implied probabilities from prediction markets. Search by topic (for example: Fed, recession, CPI, bitcoin, oil, or election) to compare odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt.

Use the driver chips for fast filters, then compare probabilities and liquidity to understand where the crowd is pricing risk. Always treat odds as a signal, not a certainty.

What does "Prob" mean?

"Prob" is the implied probability derived from the latest available YES price for a contract.

Why do different venues show different odds?

Each venue has different participants, liquidity, and contract definitions. Disagreements can be informative.

Can I search by stock ticker?

Most prediction markets are topic-based (rates, recession, bitcoin, elections). If a ticker has no direct contracts, Event Pulse will surface broad driver markets.